New world map in the 2030s?

February 27, 2025

In a hypothetical scenario where Russia annexes Ukraine and former Soviet republics, China incorporates Taiwan and asserts control over South China Sea territories, and the United States acquires Canada, Greenland, and the Panama Canal, other nations might also pursue territorial expansions to enhance their strategic positions, access resources, or address historical claims. Potential actions and territorial outcomes either before, during, or after a third world war (WWIII) could include:

1. Turkey: Aspirations in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East

• Northern Cyprus: Turkey has maintained a military presence in Northern Cyprus since 1974, recognizing it as the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus—a status not acknowledged internationally. In a global environment where territorial expansions become more prevalent, Turkey might seek full annexation of Northern Cyprus.

• Influence in Syria and Iraq: Turkey has conducted military operations in northern Syria and Iraq, primarily targeting Kurdish groups. With shifting global norms, Turkey could attempt to establish buffer zones or exert greater control in these regions to secure its borders and counter perceived threats.

2. India and Pakistan: The Kashmir Conflict

• Jammu and Kashmir: The region of Jammu and Kashmir has been a longstanding point of contention between India and Pakistan, leading to multiple conflicts. In a world where territorial annexations become more common, either nation might attempt to assert full control over the region, potentially escalating tensions and leading to broader conflict.

3. Argentina: Renewed Focus on the Falkland Islands

• Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas): Argentina has historically claimed sovereignty over the Falkland Islands, a British Overseas Territory. In a geopolitical climate where territorial claims are increasingly acted upon, Argentina might intensify efforts to reclaim the islands, potentially leading to diplomatic or military confrontations with the United Kingdom.

4. Venezuela: Claims in the Guayana Esequiba Region

• Esequiba Territory: Venezuela has long claimed the Esequiba region, administered by Guyana. Amid a global trend of territorial expansion, Venezuela might pursue more assertive actions to incorporate this resource-rich area, leading to heightened regional tensions.

5. Morocco: Consolidation in Western Sahara

• Western Sahara: Morocco administers a significant portion of Western Sahara but faces opposition from the Polisario Front, which seeks independence for the region. In a world more accepting of territorial annexations, Morocco might move to fully integrate Western Sahara, despite potential resistance and international disputes.

6. North and South Korea: The Unification Dilemma

• Korean Peninsula: Both North and South Korea officially claim sovereignty over the entire peninsula. In a destabilized global context, one side might attempt reunification by force, leading to a significant conflict with far-reaching implications.

7. Serbia: Interests in Kosovo

• Kosovo: Despite Kosovo's declaration of independence in 2008, Serbia has not recognized it and considers the region a part of its territory. In a global environment where territorial revisions become more accepted, Serbia might seek to reassert control over Kosovo, potentially reigniting regional conflicts in the Balkans.

8. Saudi Arabia:

• Yemen's Northern Territories: Saudi Arabia has historically been involved in Yemen, primarily to counteract Houthi influence and Iranian presence. In an environment where territorial expansion becomes normalized, Saudi Arabia might seek to annex parts of northern Yemen to establish a strategic buffer zone, aiming to enhance its security and regional influence.

• Qatar: The territorial dispute between Qatar and Saudi Arabia was resolved, preventing an interstate conflict from erupting over the contested territory. citeturn0search7

9. Iran:

• Persian Gulf Islands: Iran currently administers the islands of Abu Musa, Greater Tunb, and Lesser Tunb, which are also claimed by the United Arab Emirates (UAE). In a global context where territorial annexations become more prevalent, Iran might solidify its control over these strategic islands, emphasizing their importance for regional security and asserting dominance over vital maritime routes. citeturn0search14

• Western Afghanistan: Iran shares deep cultural and historical ties with western Afghanistan. Should global norms shift to favor territorial expansions, Iran might assert influence or control over these areas to secure its eastern borders and access additional resources.

10. Israel:

• Golan Heights: Israel has maintained control over the Golan Heights since the 1967 Six-Day War. In a geopolitical climate where territorial claims are increasingly acted upon, Israel might formally annex the Golan Heights, citing security concerns and the strategic advantage the territory provides.

• Southern Lebanon: Given ongoing tensions with Hezbollah and the desire to establish a security buffer, Israel might consider occupying parts of southern Lebanon. This move would aim to prevent attacks on its northern territories and dismantle hostile infrastructures.

Conclusion:

While the above scenarios are speculative, they underscore the potential for a domino effect in territorial ambitions if major powers like Russia, China, and the United States engage in significant annexations. Such actions could destabilize established international norms, leading to a surge in regional conflicts as nations seek to expand their influence and control over disputed areas. Whether these hypothetical scenarios become true or not may depend on the timing and extent of a third world war. The international community would face substantial challenges in addressing these conflicts and maintaining global stability.

Now you know it.

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