Skip to main content

Posts

Why is the Iran War pushing gold and silver down for now?

Creatix / March 14, 2026 At first glance it seems counter-intuitive. War normally pushes gold and silver up because investors look for “safe-haven” assets. But during the current Iran conflict several other forces are dominating the market. Here are the main reasons precious metals have been falling instead of rising : 1. A Much Stronger U.S. Dollar During crises, investors often rush into U.S. dollars and Treasury bonds , not just gold. The Iran war has strengthened the dollar as global investors seek liquidity and safety. Because gold and silver are priced in dollars , a stronger dollar usually pushes their prices down. Markets have recently seen gold pressured specifically by a stronger dollar and rising yields during the conflict. ( Seeking Alpha ) 2. Rising Interest Rates / Bond Yields Gold and silver pay no interest . When bond yields rise: Investors can earn returns from Treasuries instead of holding metals . That reduces demand for gold and silver. The war has pushed oil high...
Post a Comment
Read more
Recent posts

How Israel Wrapped the United States into Another Middle East War? Didn’t We Learn the Lessons of Iraq and Afghanistan??

Creatix / March 14, 2026 The possibility of the United States becoming deeply involved in yet another Middle East conflict raises difficult questions that echo loudly from recent history. After two long and costly wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, many Americans believed the country had learned painful lessons about military intervention, nation-building, and the limits of power in complex regional conflicts. Yet once again, tensions involving Israel and Iran risk pulling the United States into another prolonged confrontation. Understanding how such situations develop requires looking beyond simple finger pointing and political blame game to examine the strategic, political, and historical forces at work. The Strategic Alliance Between the U.S. and Israel The United States and Israel have maintained one of the closest security partnerships in modern geopolitics for decades. Since Israel’s founding in 1948, Washington has viewed the country as a key democratic ally in a volatile region. ...
Post a Comment
Read more

Is the Iran War a Strategic Error That Hurts Capitalism and Helps Communism?

Creatix / March 13, 2026 The war against Iran has triggered a serious debate among foreign-policy experts, economists, and military strategists. Some analysts argue the campaign may weaken a long-standing adversary and restore deterrence in the Middle East. Others warn that the conflict could prove to be a strategic mistake hurting the US and benefiting Russia. Strategic debates about war often revolve around a simple question: does the conflict ultimately strengthen or weaken a nation’s long-term position in the world? In the case of the Iran war, critics point to several major concerns: uncertain objectives, the risk of escalation, economic disruption, human suffering, global backlash against the United States, and the possibility that the war may unintentionally benefit Vladimir Putin. 1. The Problem of Unclear Strategic Objectives One of the most common criticisms raised by analysts is the lack of a clearly defined end state . Military operations can destroy infrastructure and weak...
Post a Comment
Read more

Has Berkshire Lost Its Mojo without Buffett?

Creatix / March 13, 2026 For decades, investors viewed Berkshire Hathaway as the ultimate defensive fortress. When markets turned volatile, the company led by Warren Buffett was expected to hold up better than the broader market—sometimes even rising while others fell. But during the most recent bout of geopolitical turbulence and market volatility, something unusual has happened. Berkshire has not outperformed the market. In fact, over the past couple of weeks, Berkshire’s shares have slipped slightly more than the broader market benchmark, the S&P 500 . For a company long considered the “safe harbor” of American capitalism, that raises an uncomfortable question: Has Berkshire lost its mojo? The Expectation: Berkshire as the Crisis Stock Historically, Berkshire Hathaway has been built to withstand storms. The company holds a mix of: massive insurance operations (GEICO and others) energy infrastructure railroads , including BNSF Railway large equity stakes in blue-chip companies...
Post a Comment
Read more

The 4% Problem: Why Global Power Is Never as Simple as It Looks

Creatix / March 12, 2026 At first glance, the modern world seems full of contradictions. The United States represents roughly 4% of the global population , yet we exercised an influence over global politics, economics, finance, technology, and culture that far exceeds our demographic weight. For decades—especially after the end of the Cold War—many observers described the world as unipolar : one dominant superpower with the ability to shape international outcomes. But if that is true, why does reality so often refuse to cooperate? Why do wars drag on longer than expected? Why do sanctions fail to produce rapid political change? Why do regional conflicts continue despite immense pressure from powerful nations? The answer lies in what we might call the 4% problem : the structural limits faced by any country trying to influence a world that is far larger, more complex, and more independent than it may appear. A Small Population With Large Influence With about 330 million people in a world...
Post a Comment
Read more

Bitcoin Reaching $100,000 Again: The Question Is Not If, But When

Creatix / March 12, 2026 Chances are that Bitcoin will continue showing extreme volatility for many years to come. For years, fans have predicted Bitcoin becoming digital gold and skeptics have predicted the collapse of Bitcoin. Yet every cycle seems to end the same way: Bitcoin rises and then crashes; critics declare the "experiment" over until Bitcoin rises again. It's a wild roller coaster ride.  To understand why, it helps to examine the defining characteristic of Bitcoin since its creation by Satoshi Nakamoto (a real person; a group; the CIA?) in 2009: extreme volatility combined with long-term growth . A History of Wild Swings Bitcoin’s price history is one of the most volatile ever seen in a major financial asset. Massive gains are frequently followed by equally dramatic crashes. Some of the most notable cycles include: 2011 Bitcoin surged from roughly $1 to about $30 before collapsing to around $2. 2013 The price jumped from about $13 to over $1,100, then crashed ...
Post a Comment
Read more

1.4 Trillion: The U.S. Stock Market Cost of the Iran War (so far)

Creatix / March 11, 2026 On February 28, 2026 a US and Israel coalition began a new phase in the long-going military campaign in response to Iran's aggressive tactics in the Middle East. In these ~11 days, the U.S. stock market has lost roughly about $1.4 trillion in overall market capitalization.  This estimate comes from examining the declines in two major benchmarks: the S&P 500; and the Wilshire 4500 Completion Index. Together these two indexes represent almost the entire U.S. stock market — roughly 5,000 publicly traded companies. By comparing their market capitalization before the conflict with their declines since the conflict began, we can estimate how much paper value investors have lost. The Basis of the Calculation The S&P 500 The S&P 500 tracks the 500 largest publicly traded companies in the United States, including giants like Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon. These companies represent about 80% of the total value of the U.S. stock market. Before the conflict ...
Post a Comment
Read more

Who's Benefiting The Most From The US/Israel vs Iran War? Russia

Creatix / Mar 8, 2026 Who’s Benefiting the Most from Conflict in the Middle East? War is overwhelmingly destructive. The biggest effects are human suffering, destroyed infrastructure, displaced families, and higher costs for everyone else. But economically, conflict also creates pockets of advantage. In the current Middle East escalation, the clearest short-term winners are not the countries at the center of the fighting. They are the actors that can sell substitute energy, replace depleted weapons, insure higher-risk trade, or profit from the market’s flight to safety. Russia stands out near the top of that list . ( Reuters ) The central reason is oil. The Strait of Hormuz has been severely disrupted, and Reuters reported that the wider conflict has choked off an artery accounting for about 20% of global oil and LNG supply. Oil prices have surged accordingly: Reuters reported Brent above $108 and U.S. crude above $108 on March 8, while an earlier Reuters report showed Brent already up...
Post a Comment
Read more

S&P 500 Stocks Hit Hardest by Uncle Sam in Iran So Far — Buy the dip or run to shore?

Creatix / March 6, 2026 Geopolitical shocks often trigger sharp but uneven reactions in financial markets. The recent escalation between the United States, Israel, and Iran has been no exception. Interestingly, the overall market decline has been relatively modest , yet several individual companies—particularly in travel and cyclical industries—have experienced much sharper sell-offs. This raises a familiar question for investors:  Are these declines a rational repricing of risk, or an emotional overreaction creating buy-the-dip opportunities? Below we examine two sides of the story: Which S&P 500 stocks have fallen the most so far, and How analysts rated these companies before the conflict began. Ten S&P 500 Stocks Hit the Hardest So Far The sectors most sensitive to geopolitical shocks—especially those tied to fuel costs or international travel—have experienced the steepest declines. Cruise lines These have been among the biggest casualties. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings...
Post a Comment
Read more

US World Police — Is Iran Becoming the Next Iraq?

Creatix / March 6, 2026 As tensions involving Iran intensify after the US military strikes and the assassination of Iran’s Supreme Leader, it is natural for analysts and observers to look for historical parallels. The comparison that appears most often is Iraq in the early 2000s, when Western military intervention rapidly removed Saddam Hussein’s regime but unleashed years of instability. The analogy is tempting. Iraq in 2003 remains the most prominent modern example of Western military power removing a government quickly while struggling with the long-term consequences. Yet Iran today is larger, more complex, and far more deeply embedded in regional geopolitics than Iraq was two decades ago. The global context is also very different. This article explores several key questions: Are the strategic dynamics today similar to Iraq in 2003? What does Iraq look like today—what “fate” are analysts referring to? How does Iran compare structurally to Iraq? What risks might Western strategists b...
Post a Comment
Read more