Putin Outsmarts Trump Again (PUTA)
Next week, Donald Trump is likely to walk straight into another Vladimir Putin trap. For reasons that defy logic — and perhaps national interest — Trump is fixated on brokering a “historic” deal to end the war in Ukraine. The obsession isn’t strategic; it’s personal. Trump wants the press headline, the photo op where he looks taller than Putin, a victory lap, and the headlines declaring him the peacemaker who succeeded where others failed.
And Putin knows it.
Trump’s negotiating style is rooted in business: find common ground, sign the deal, and celebrate the win. But Putin isn’t a businessman. He’s an anti-American strategist with a lifelong mission to weaken the West and expand Russian influence, not just in Ukraine, but globally. Where Trump sees a handshake, Putin sees a lever.
Putin’s playbook here is painfully predictable. He will promise Trump exactly what Trump wants to hear — troop withdrawals, ceasefires, maybe even a vague pledge to respect Ukraine’s borders — all wrapped in language that can be fed directly into a teleprompter. Trump will sell it as a breakthrough, but in reality, it will be an illusion.
Because Putin’s promises are expendable. Once Trump announces the “deal of the century,” the Kremlin can and will breach it, whether by covertly supporting separatists, funneling arms across the border, or inventing new pretexts for military action. And by then, Trump will have no good options. Renegotiating would expose his gullibility; retaliation would undermine the very narrative he sold about having reached a "great deal".
The core problem? Trump misunderstands who he’s dealing with. Negotiating with a skyscraper developer is not the same as negotiating with an ex-KGB agent and autocrat who measures success in weakening the capitalist West, not in dollars and cents. In Trump’s mind, a signed deal is an endpoint. In Putin’s world, it’s just the opening move.
So yes, Putin will outsmart Trump — again. Not because Putin is a genius, but because his goal is completely different than Trump's. Trump is chasing applause in the theater while Putin is playing for shutting it down. Trump wants to renovate a beautiful and historic "residential building" of a deal whereas Putin wants to demolish the structure and rezone the whole area from residential to industrial.
Yes, Putin Outsmarts Trump Again (PUTA).
Now you know it.
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