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Why so many blacks will vote for Trump?

October 12, 2024

Why so many black Americans will vote for Trump?

In one word: racism. In another word: convenience. Some blacks are as racists against immigrants as Trump and the rest of MAGA supporters. Some blacks are counting on benefiting socioeconomically from Trump's closed border and anti immigration policies. Blacks, as all other humans, votes based on perceived convenience. For many, the perceived convenience is to stick to the tradition of voting for the Democratic party to secure more socioeconomic privileges and protections. For some blacks, voting for Trump looks convenient because they see immigrants as their competition for socioeconomic privileges in our country. Both views make sense. While Harris will carry the vast majority (80%) of the black vote, Trump may get up to 20% of the black vote, which would be a record. We predict that Trump will win these elections by a comfortable electoral college margin higher than the one in 2016. 

Why will Trump win?

Racism against immigration. These elections are not about the economy, which is almost perfect. Trump cannot improve the current economy. From an economic standpoint, the Democrat's "open border" economy is a superior proposition than Trump's closed border and tariffs economy. However, since the vast majority of immigrants are non-white, millions of white Americans are incredibly uncomfortable and living in emotional pain. Since the immigrants do the jobs that poor Americans (both whites and blacks) don't want to do at the current labor market rates, many poor Americans (especially blacks) resent the immigrants as unfair competition. 

In sum, whites see immigrants as racial "pollution" and blacks see immigrants as economic competition. The immigration issue is complicated and doesn't have an easy solution. The "New World" was established on white Christian supremacy. 

It all began on a day like today (October 12th) 532 years ago. On October 12, 1492, Italian navigator Cristoforo Colombo discovered a transatlantic maritime route from Europe to the New World. He thought that he had arrived India, and died thinking that he had found islands off the coast of India. Anyways, after 5 centuries of colonization, many things have changed and political white supremacy has eroded significantly. Blacks are no longer invisible shackles although many remain psychologically oppressed and colonized. Many whites have been unable to realize the American Dream despite five centuries of relative privilege. There are millions of Americans who resent deeply the "fast" erosion of white supremacy and the fast rise of non-white immigration. The emotional pain is such that many fall into the trap of racism and are ready to sell out to our modern-day Hitler, Donald Trump.   

Now you know it. 

Live well. Die better. Enjoy.

www.creatix.one

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